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Saturday, May 28, 2005 

Unusual Result


Using some stats from Poker Office, I plotted a scatter chart of $Won/Hand against SawFlop%, expecting to see a negative correlation, as loose players shouldn't make as much as tight ones.

Bizarrely, the chart shows no sort of correlation whatsoever, and goes against common Poker wisdom.

The reason for this could be I haven't got enough hands in my sample (though I only included players for which I have over 200 hands). But I'll definitely have to look at this in more detail in the future.

I've also updated the Free Calculatem Trial page. Users can now try Calculatem with $20 of free money.


Wednesday, May 25, 2005 

John McLeod's Poker site


John McLeod has kindly lined to me from his Poker Site. His site contains an interesting article on the history of Poker, and contains many useful links to other Poker resources.


Tuesday, May 24, 2005 

Jacks or Better Video Poker article posted at ezinearticles!


An article that I wrote a few months ago has been published at ezinearticles. I feel very proud of myself!

You can read it by following the link below.

Statistical Arbitrage strategy applied to Video Poker


Monday, May 23, 2005 

Some Statistical Analysis with Poker Office


I've started gathering some statistics, using Poker Office, at Party Poker. The aim of this exercise is to identify key differences between the best and worst players. I will also publish a list of the best and worst players (from my limited sample size), so that readers of this blog can have an additional edge when selecting tables.

From the few thousand hands in my database, I have averaged the statistics for the top and bottom 5 players, on $0.50/$1.00 tables at Party Poker. I will try not to use commonly held beliefs (e.g. you should be tight-aggressive), but will point out when the evidence reinforces or contradicts them.

The Saw Flop % for the top 5 was 31.62%, and 36.86% for the bottom 5. This confirms the common belief that a strong pre-flop hand selection is important.

The % showdowns for the top 5 was 12.5%, and13.55%. While these figures aren't significantly different, it does seem to suggest that the better players fold when they know they're beaten.

The PreFlopRaise% for the top 5 was 1.41%, and 0.80% for the bottom 5. This reinforces the typical view that aggressive play is rewarded.

In the future I shall try to present more useful statistics in a more elegant manner, and maybe even publish top 10 lists for the best and worst players.


Sunday, May 22, 2005 

Quiet Poker Weekend


I went to a wedding yesterday and therefore haven't had much time for Poker this weekend.

The only Poker that I've managed so far was an hour of $0.05/$0.10 at Royal Vegas with a buddy, but those limits are so low they hardly count. I even started raising with 72o preflop as I wasn't taking it seriously enough. Oh well.

There are a couple of good freerols at Bet365 that I'll be doing later, and I'm planning on doing more $0.05/$0.10 with some mates tomorrow. I need to get back to doing $0.50/$1.00 or I'll never progress, but after the losses I suffered last week I'm feeling a little afraid.


Wednesday, May 18, 2005 

More micro limit social games, Poker Prof


I played more 5c/10c with friends at Royal Vegas this evening. The other players were either total maniacs who'd raise with nothing, or so passive that they'd check the river on strong hands such as three of a kind.

Senator, from Poker Strategy, has suggested that I might have got killed at Coral because I both moved up a limit and changed poker room at the same time. I don't like to make weak excuses, but after my last two sessions, I believe he may well be right!

For the immediate future I think I will take a break from climbing the Poker pyramid. I shall continue to play Royal Vegas socially on the low 5c/10c tables as I can't really lose, and spend the rest of my Poker time attempting to increase this blog's place in the online Poker community.

The venerable Poker Prof has linked to me from both his excellent personal blog, and Poker Blogs pages, and I must thank him for his generosity.


Tonight's games


From 7:30pm tonight I'll be on...

The 7:30pm freeroll at Ladbrokes Poker.

A $0.05/$0.10 fixed limit table at Royal Vegas.

Please feel free to join me.


Tuesday, May 17, 2005 

A softer game at Royal Vegas


After my losses at Coral Poker, I decided that I needed to step back for a while. A friend was interested in moving from live poker to online Poker, so we played a few hands together on a $0.05/$0.10 table at Royal Vegas Poker.

It was such a change from the $0.50/$1.00 at Coral Poker! Opponents rarely raised, and would called me down to the river with absolutely nothing. I ended a 2.5 hour session with a profit of over 40 BBs (big blinds).

I only wish the higher stake tables were so easy...


Sunday, May 15, 2005 

Got robbed


I got robbed at Coral Poker today and am down about $50, after two-tabling at $0.50/$1.00, for a few hours.

Poker Office was running in the background and it gave some nice stats. However, I should have paid more attention to the game, as it takes a while to gather useful statistics.

In terms of my Poker game, I seemed to chase too many unprofitable calls, had my semi-bluffs raise/called too often, and probably folded to too many bluffs myself.

Looking to the immediate future, in my next few sessions I shall only run Poker Office in the background, allowing it to gather a significant ammount of data before attempting anymore analysis. I will also only play on a single table.


Saturday, May 14, 2005 

Broke the $300 barrier, bankroll building / preservation


After grinding away at $0.25/$0.50 limit holdem games I've finally broken the $300.00 barrier!

I now have a bankroll that is comfortably sufficient to survive swings at $0.50/$1.00 tables and will be moving back to Coral Poker in my next session.

This will allow me to continue my Poker Office research, and I will be looking to see how effectively historical player statistics can give me an edge over the competition.

Some of my drawdowns were quite scary (despite the low stakes) as I seriously feared that I might go bust on several occasions. I shall therefore attempt to augment my Poker bankroll by claiming more casino special offers, as described in Casino and Sports Betting Strategies. The latest offer comes from Platinum Play, but the best is from Royal Vegas. This should net just under $300 and will therefore give me another safety net to fall on.


Another Live Game


I played in another live game last night. The name of the game was No Limit Texas Hold'Em, the buy in was £5, and there were 7 players.

The nature of the game was highly aggressive and heavy bluffing bets caused me to lay down many winning hands. However, I managed to slow play a few monster hands, and came out ahead.

I believe that I might be able to improve my No Limit game if I improve my understanding of implied odds. Pot Odds are hard to achieve in aggressive games, but the extra bets that can be picked up if I hit my draws could make up for them.


Wednesday, May 11, 2005 

Getting back on form


I'm finally back from holiday and being sick in hospital.

My Poker form is coming back as I'm having more success using my synergetic combination of Calculatem and lessons from "Small Stakes Hold'Em" (SSHE). I feel this is because I'm being more passive than advised in SSHE, and because Calculatem's "My odds to win" feature is helping me to estimate good situations in which to call rather than fold.

I also won $30 from a Bet365 freeroll last night.


Free Poker Office (Empire Poker deal)



Free Poker Office


What is Poker Office


















"PokerOffice is the most sophisticated tool on the market for Online Texas Hold'em Poker. PokerOffice allows you to track all of your opponents actions as well as your own game, while you are playing, without any need for hand histories or user input. It stores all of the collected data and brings you summarized statistical reports, spreadsheets and graphs of your own and your opponents play. In addition it comes with a Live Advisor Window that displays real time opponent modeling of the players you are currently facing, real time probabilities of future hands, hand rankings, Pot Odds and live graphs and statistics."

Get Poker Office free



Poker Office can be acquired for free by players who open new accounts with either Empire Poker or Noble Poker. Visit the Poker Office website for more information.

Learn how to use Poker Office



If you read through my blog you will get a general idea of how I use Poker Office to help me identify weak players to prey on and strong players to avoid, as well as analysing my own play and assessing leaks in my game.

Poker Office User Guide - this post gives a brief description of how I use Poker Office.

This post describes how I use Texas Calculatem in conjunction with Poker Office.

Resources





Tuesday, May 10, 2005 

Free Calculatem trial with free real money


Many readers who've read my Texas Calculatem Guide have, with very good reason, been cynical as to Texas Calculatem's merits.

Well, those skeptics can now try Texas Calculatem with free money, or acquire the software for free using one of the special offers detailed below:

Players can obtain a FREE 1 YEAR Texas Calculatem LICENSE by openning a new Bodog Casino account and depositing $20, or openning a new Paradise Poker account and depositing $50. In order to claim one of these offers simply go through the banner on Texas Calculatem's website.

Alternatively, skeptics (and any other curious individuals) can now try Texas Calculatem for free - using REAL money - by combining the Texas Calculatem Free Trial with two free $10 (no deposit required) bonuses from Royal Vegas Poker and Crazy Vegas Poker.

In order to take advantage of the the free trial with free money offer, players should


Useful Links




Monday, May 09, 2005 

Royal Vegas Poker, free $10


Royal Vegas Poker currently have an excellent promotion that new players can exploit in order to test our Optimal Calculatem Settings strategy guide for free.

They are offering new players $10 free, with no deposit required. And those who choose to make a deposit will get a 40% deposit bonus of up to $100.


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