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Wednesday, April 06, 2005 

Post Flop Calculatem System


I played around with Calculatem's deck window and tried out a few test hands. It has serious issues counting outs and that could be why it's post flop advice is so poor.

However, one statistic that I've been neglecting to use is the "odds to win" (OTW) estimate. From what I gather, the OTW estimate is generated using a Monte Carlo simulation. It could therefore be more accurate than the rest of the advice. Therefore, I tried out creating some rules for post-flop play using Calculatem and followed them for a 1.5 hour session. I was successful, but such a short session does not provide me with a significant result as to the validity of the system.

Anyway, these are the rules that I tried and that I will be using in the near future:

pre-flop

(Settings as in the current user guide)

- If the signal is "check/fold" then check or fold.
- If the signal is "call unraised" then bet/call unraised.
- Otherwise raise one bet
- Only re-raise if Calculatem recommends a re-raise.

Flop, Turn and River play

These condition could overlap. If they do then choose the item that is highest on the list.

- If bet odds (# players other than yourself) >= 2 * OTW then bet/raise.
- If pot odds >= 2 * OTW then bet/call.
- If pot odds >= OTW then check/call.

Only re-raise if Calculatem recommends a re-raise.


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